martes, 28 de agosto de 2012


Antonio Aretxabala, Cristina Sanz 

Building Department, School of Architecture, University of Navarre
University Campus, 31080 Pamplona, Navarra, Spain

The recent earthquake of 11th May 2011 that struck the town of Lorca in the region of Murcia, at the Southeast (SE) of the Iberian Peninsula has been the one with the most destructive effects in the last sixty years in Spain. Its unpredictable and devastating effects: nine victims and direct losses of 1.650.000.000 €. The monumental architectural heritage of Lorca has been severely damaged, with a restoration estimated cost above 50.000.000 €. As one of the heads of the Culture Department of the local government declared: “This seism has been the most important negative impact in European Heritage since the one that partially collapsed the Basilica of Asissi, in Italy, in 1997”.

The accelerations measured in the first event and in the second one, two hours later, were 0,24g (Mw 4,4) and 0,41g (Mw 5,2). The seismic resistant structural code in force, NCSE 02, determines a basic acceleration of 0,12g for the area. The activity of the Alhama-Murcia Fault (FAM), on which the epicentre was located, NE from town centre, at a depth of 2 km and a distance of 10 km. FAM is known since 1979. The amplifying effect of the ground under Lorca, exceeding the previsions of the ground coefficient C established in the code, was one of the causes of the severe damage in built environment. 

These events provide an unsurpassable opportunity to study and analyze, among other areas, the role that microzoning urban planning and design can play in effectively mitigating hazard in the urban areas of the seismic-prone regions, where historical cities with significant heritage are sited. Planners provided of tectonic seismic local maps and detailed information of the sub-surface geology, will make the right decisions in order to preserve not only lives but also the built existing environment and new buildings in future developments. Besides the evident revision of NCSE 02, other building standards should be revised to guarantee the maintenance and retrofitting of buildings not meeting the requirement of seismic resistant design and codes, outstanding the need to include heritage. 

Keywords— Earthquakes, Faults, Heritage Damages, Seismic-Resistant Structural Codes, Urban Planning in Seismic Zones.


Spanish professionals concerning the building sector, are not still aware of the fact: Spain is a seismic country. The NCSE 02 needs urgent revision: nine people died in Lorca, none of them due to structural collapses. Geotechnical matters such as the influence of local ground amplification should be reconsidered. Buildings with reinforced concrete (RC) structures but with set-backs, short columns, ground soft story, or incorrectly anchoraged of the non structural elements, are examples of existing architectural configurations non suitable for a correct seismic behaviour. 

Damages on the rich heritage of medieval and baroque buildings in Lorca, evidence the need of specific inspections to determine their structural vulnerability, as well as the implementation of new reinforcement technologies. Special urban planning for those historical centre towns close to active faults is also required, but not only in Spain. Actions are to be taken in order to prevent similar effects in historical places with the same tectonical situation: such as Granada, Córdoba, Murcia, Alicante, Torrevieja, which are potentially laying on the same risks: active faults closer, on grounds capable to doubling or even tripling seismic waves. The earthquake of the Italian town l’Aquila evidenced that other European areas have the same risks. 

On the other hand, people in Europe and specially Spain are not prepared or trained for an adequate behaviour during seismic events, as they are in Japan, California or South America. 

To apply seismic building codes has not been, is not, and it will never be sufficient. It is necessary to develop and implement a multidimensional and interdisciplinary approach, but also a transdisciplinary one to develop a new approach, adequate tools, processes and mechanisms to reduce the seismic vulnerability in European cities situated close to active faults, with the participation of geologists, city planners, engineers, architects, constructors, stakeholders and any other agents regarding the urban planning and building process. Active participation of city officials, decision makers and population is also required. 

II. LOSSES COSTS: 1.650 million €

The Lorca earthquake happened two months after a much stronger earthquake, 8.9 in magnitude, with a destructive tsunami, that struck Fukushima. Japan will have to pay in damages more than 300.000 million USD. This is without taking into account the nuclear crisis, the paralysation of the Japanese industry, the energy supply disruption and the abrupt decrease in exports. The cost to be paid in Lorca has been estimated in more than 1.650 millions €, forcing the president of the regional government of Murcia to claim from the European Commission to determine as fast as possible the amount of financial aid to receive from the European Solidarity Fund. The aid from the local, regional and national Spanish administration, will cover 50% of the costs. The effects of l’Aquila earthquake, with 309 victims, have been estimated in a loss cost of 3.000 million €. The number of victims in Lorca was not higher because the population was warned by a first 4,4 event two hours before the strongest 5,2 second one. Advice was given on radio, TV, and Internet for the people to remain in the streets and open spaces, certainly saving a lot of lives.


Lorca is a town in the valley of the Guadalentín River, in the region of Murcia, SE of the Iberian Peninsula (Figure1). The municipality has an extension of 1.676 km², the second largest in Spain, and is 353 m over the sea level, located at 37º 41' N latitude and 1º 42' W  longitude. It is the third most important town in Murcia, with a population of 92.694 inhabitants (Spanish Statistics National Institute, INE, 2010).

Lorca is very well known not only for its historical and artistic architectural heritage but also for its Holy Week processions. They have been declared of International Touristic Interest and Lorca is fighting for them to be declared a World Heritage festival by the UNESCO. Founded by the Greeks, the Romans called it Eliocroca, a combination of the Greek terms helios (sun) and kratón (government), the reason for which is also called Sun City.


Fig. 1  Lorca’s earthquake USGS chart (data and map) and IGN map.

According to the report, drafted by the Geological and Mining Institute (IGME) of the Science and Innovation Ministry, a first seismic event (magnitude 4.4 Mw) took place in Lorca, at 15:05 (GMT), followed by a series of minor events (6 tremors, magnitudes around mbLg 2.5) and a second significant shock (5.2 Mw) at 16:47, that lasted 5 seconds.

Up to 130 minor events (between mbLg 0.4 and 3.9 Mw) were registered up until 17th of May. Epicentres were located close at the NE of Lorca (Figure 1), at a distance of about 2 km, coinciding with the Northern part of the Alhama de Murcia Fault (FAM).

The Fault spreads along the NW border of the Guadalentín Valley, from the periphery of Alcantarilla, in Murcia, to the outskirts of Góñar in Almería, a total length of 85 km.

Accelerations reached in the two main events, registered by the stations of the National Net of Accelerographs of ING in Table I and main events in Murcia in the last year in Table II.


The earthquake caused 9 victims, dozens of injuried, and more than a 10.000 people to be evacuated; the collapse of a multiple dwelling building in La Viña district and countless damages in the 50% of the existing residential buildings. The number of seriously affected buildings in La Viña was specially high. The summary of the damage inspection and classification of 6.405 RC structure buildings carried out was 4.009 declared habitable, 1.335 slightly damaged, 694 heavily damaged and 329 to be demolished. Two buildings were not inspectioned, as they had to be demolished before. 


Fig. 2    EAE classification table. Rodriguez-Pascua et al. (2011)

Lorca Town Council has  implemented a geographical event viewer in its web page, to locate every inspectioned building in the municipality, which has proof to be a very useful tool for stakeholders.

Structural geology techniques were used in the study of the historical building damage included in the IGME Preliminary Field Report.

In the inspection, more than a hundred effects were identified and classified in 33 masonry structural historical buildings, according to what Giner-Robles et al. (2009) and Rodriguez-Pascua et al. (2011) defined as Archaeological Earthquake Effects (EAE), depending on whether they are direct or indirect effects (Fig. 2).

After analyzing the global damage extent, the provisional budget was 50 millions €. Final figure, according to the Framework Plan for the Lorca’s Cultural Heritage Recovery, drafted in July, is 51.287.076,93 €.

Complete restoration is scheduled to be completed in five years. A too long-term period according to the importance of tourism in Lorca’s economy and quite doubtful to comply with, due to the fact that the required funds are not available for the moment. The summary of the restoration cost of the most significant buildings is the following:

Espolón Tower (XIIIth c.) San Antonio Porch, Saint Clement Hermitage medieval walls of the Castle of Lorca and the National Parador (public-owned luxurious hotels in historical sites), near the existing synagogue. The Castle is a fortress built throughout Xth and xvith centuries, declared Protected Cultural Asset (acronym in Spanish, BIC) in 1931. The Historical Centre of Lorca, including the Castle, was declared Historical-Artistic Ensemble in 1964. Damage in the Espolón Tower shows evidence of the main direction of the horizontal shakes, due to the NE location of the epicentre. The most damaged corners are those in the NE-SW diagonal of the plan (Figures 3 and 4). Final budget: 11.169.293,13 € 

Fig. 3  Espolón Tower, before the earthquake

Fig. 4  Damaged tower top, afterwards. SW corner, first plane

Church of Santiago (XVIIIth c.) Baroque style building, its dome collapsed after the second seismic event, as seen in Figure 5. The Collapse analysis revealed that restoration works carried out in the fifties, reinforcing the masonry structure with too rigid RC elements, did not contribute to reduce the structural vulnerability but even increased it, being the most possible partial collapse cause. The bell tower also shows evidence of damage due to rotation, with main damages in NO-SE facades (Figure 6). Final budget: 2.100.256,00 €. 

Fig. 5  Aerial view of the Church of Santiago, before and after the dome collapse

Fig. 6  Detail of damaged  top of the tower, Church of Santiago 
Church of San Francisco (XVIth c.). Built in the renaissance period, with a beautiful classical main facade and baroque interior, declared BIC, the provisional budget for its restoration in the preliminary report was the only figure significantly minor than the final. (Figure 7)

Final budget: 4.340.771,16 €. 

Santo Domingo Monumental Ensemble, ( XVIIth -XVIIIth c.). Placed in the Main Street of Lorca, comprises the convent or church and the Rosario Chapel (Figure 7). Only three facades of the cloister are still standing (Figure 8). Final budget: 2.727.256,00 €.

Fig. 7  Towers of Santo Domingo, before and after partial demolition
Fig. 8  Santo Domingo’s cloister damage. Detail and general view.

Fig. 9  Inside damage.Convent of the Virgen de Huertas

Collegiate Church of San Patricio (s.XVIth-XVIIth c.). Renaissance interior, baroque facade, declared Historical-Artistic Ensemble in 1941. Final budget: 2.960.000 €. 

Guevara Palace (XVIIth - XVIIIth c.). Also called the Columns House, originally was a luxurious baroque residence, with a noble cloister. Declared BIC in 1984, is one of the most representative buildings of civil architecture in town. Final budget: 1.163.392 €.

Convent of the Virgen de Huertas (XVth c.). Baroque ensemble, rebuilt in the XVIIth century, recently restored (Figures 9 and 10). Final budget: 2.525.000 €.

Fig. 10  Virgen de Huertas. Inside, before the earthquake
Apart from historical buildings and others damaged in the town centre, all of them with masonry load-bearing walls structures, very vulnerable to seismic activity, a high number of buildings in the district of La Viña (with a population of about 4.900 people) were also devastated, although they were, in comparison, recently built, with RC structures. All of the victims were killed in the streets, by falling facades or non-structural construction elements, broken loose from buildings. Parapets fell because of the inertial or shaking horizontal forces on the elements themselves (Figure 20). Portions of outer double-leaves facades, due to the distortions imposed by the RC structure, swaying back and forth, or separation-pounding at the interface between the adjacent structure (Figure 19, building in demolished block, called San Mateo Residence). Other ornamental cantilever elements fell down because they were insufficiently or incorrectly anchoraged or tied to structural elements. 

A three story multi-dwelling building with ordinary moment frame RC structure collapsed after the second shock, because of the incorrect configuration of the basement columns. 

Columns with shorter or variable effective height to that of the other regular ones within the same storey, called short columns, are stiffer, hence have increased seismic demand. They attract higher values of induced horizontal forces during the earthquake than their counterparts, being highly vulnerable. Brittle failure of short columns caused the collapse of the aforementioned building. A scheme of its ordinary moment frame RC configuration is presented in third place in Fig.11.

Fig. 11   Short columns formation: Due to staircase beams or ground level
differences. Scheme of the RC building structure collapsed in Lorca.

Other configurations including short columns, frequent in existing buildings in seismic-prone zones, due to the disposition of staircase landing beams between two floors or variation of columns height with different ground floor levels, are included in first and second place in the same figure.

Different pictures of the collapsed structure in Lorca in Figure 12. Other short column structures did not collapse, Figure 14. 

Heavy masonry walls placed in direct contact with ground floor columns create and artificial short storey, increasing the shear demand in columns accordingly, causing severe damage as seen in Figure 15. The inexistence of sufficient gap between masonry and the columns, restrains their free movement, as explained in Figure 16. In the case of recent buildings, damages in the RC structures are those to be expected in structures designed to support a peak of acceleration three times smaller than the value registered, undesirable configurations (soft storey in Figure 17), lack of incorrect detailing of steel reinforcement or maintenance of the structure in Figure 18. In older structures, the effects can also be attributed to incorrect seism-resistant design, including columns, joints and others. 

Fig. 12  Views of RC building collapsed

Fig. 13  Devastated ground columns inside a building

Fig. 14  Damaged short column, uncapable of dissipating the amount of energy needed before loosing resistance

Fig.15  Pillars partially confined by the masonry of the facades, forced, though, to behave like short columns 

Fig.16  Scheme of the difference between the theoretic model and the real behaviour, columns of former picture

Fig.17  Irregular and not uniform distribution of masses, stifness, strength and ductility,  combined with inexistance of masonry under first floor spans and different height of pillars (soft story)

Fig.18  Lack of reinforcement or insufficient maintenance
Fig. 19  Fissures and cracks due to the horizontal forces acting in both directions, in unreinforced brick masonry facade

Fig.20  Demolition of the rest of a roof parapet, that partially  fell down into the pavement


In Spain, the seismic-resistant design and construction structural code in force is NCSE 02. This is a result of the revision of the former NCSE 94 that substituted the PDS-1/1974. This, in turn, had only been preceded by the first Spanish seismic-resistant standard, dating from 1968, PGS-1. 

That code did not include a seismic risk map, but referred to the one in MV 101, the building loads code in force at that moment. NCSE 02 is based on previous knowledge and includes the analysis of the most relevant earthquakes registered in Spanish history. 

It also applies new criteria and the lessons learnt from the latest destructive earthquakes of Mexico (1985), Armenia (1988), Loma Prieta (1989), Kobe (1995), Izmit (1999) or Taiwan (1999) considering also, the rest of the European (Eurocode 8) and international standards, that have also been revised and renewed recently.

Fig. 21  Compilation of the GSHAP regional seismic hazard map for Europe, Africa and Middle East

Fig. 22  NCSE 02 seismic risk map
The NCSE 02 map (Fig. 22) establishes a zonification for the basic acceleration values, the basis to obtain the design seismic acceleration, fundamental data required to design any seismic-resistant structure. The basic acceleration corresponding to Lorca is 0.12g, being Granada and Alicante the zones with the highest values, over, 0.16g. The top is the town of Santa Fe in Granada 0.24g. In spite of that, the latest harmful seismic movements in Spain have been located in the region of Murcia, that suffered five important seisms in the last twelve years: Mula (February, 1999), Bullas (August, 2002) y La Paca (January 29th 2005, magnitude 4.4 Mw, 40 km away from Lorca). And, unfortunately, the last one in Lorca (May, 2011), all of them were related to the FAM.

The seismic design acceleration obtained, multiplying the basic by the rest of parameters included in NCSE 02 (four coefficients: contribution k = 1.00, ground C =1.61, risk r =1.00 and ground amplification, S =1.27) is 0.15g, clearly less than the maximum acceleration registered, 0.41 g. This kind of movement is usual in these circumscriptions, but the facts that the hipocentre was so superficial and the epicentre so close to Lorca were crucial for the disaster. The crust structure in Murcia, like in the rest of the southeast of Spain, is similar to an assembly of domino pieces horizontally laid: when one of them moves, all the others are affected (Figure 23).


Lorca is on the axis of the FAM, both seismic movements that 11th of May were very superficial (2 km depth) and the second (5.2 Richter) was only 3 km NE from town centre. 

Fig. 23  Murcia tectonical map
This explains the high number of minor events registered months after the two main events (more than 200), identified across the segments in which the FAM is divided in. This is a transcendental question because similar configurations may exist not only in the region of Murcia but also in many others regions in Europe, such as Navarra, Basque Country, Aragón and Cataluña, in Spain and their counterparts on the north side of Pyrenees, in French Departments, Pyrenéés Atlantiques and Orientaux. 

It is also important to underline the fact that Lorca is a very rich geotechnical site, concerning the soil textures and specimens, underneath Lorca. The Guadalentín River and all its sediments form a cuvette capable of amplifying the seismic waves, as seen. Due to the fact that part of these materials can be qualified as collapsible, the consequences are difficult to foresee. 

The year before the earthquake, the FAM was in an inter-seismic period with no activity at all, thus, it was quite predictable, with obvious limitations, that something was going to happen; some tectonical experts even announced it (Figure 24). The real unexpected issue was not the earthquake itself but the top basic acceleration generated. 

Fig. 24 Scheme and tectonic efforts afecting the Lorca basin 


  • Lorca should become an in situ research laboratory for the whole Europe. The earthquake consequences require a much deeper and extensive multidisciplinary analysis, in order to establish the lessons-learnt for seismologists, geologist, engineers, architects and stakeholders. It is too early to have final consistent conclusions, but we are in time to point out a series of striking combined causes. In Spain, we have the first opportunity to apply the content of the NCSE 02 article 1.3.3 after being classified VII, in such an extended area. The content is this: “...after a high intensity seism, an report of every construction located in areas with intensity equal o higher than VII (EMS scale) should be drafted, in order to analyze the consequences of the earthquake on it, as well as to determine the kind of measures to be taken in relationship. The author of the report should be the technical expert responsible for the maintenance, or if there was not one, the proprietor or legal owner of the construction”. 

  • Actions must be taken in order to raise public awareness. It is essential to raise the awareness of the population in general, specially the building sector, regarding the existence of areas highly vulnerable to earthquakes in Spanish geography. The time has come to determine the preventive actions to be adopted as well as to plan all the procedures to follow in case of high magnitude seism’s striking. These two should be the main objectives to be promoted by the administration, as well as to transmit a clear message: Spain is a country with seismicity capable of killing people, seriously damaging buildings, infrastructures or heritage, or even paralyzing the economic activity of a whole region. 

  • Urban planning. Tectonic and/or seismic research should be coordinated with micro-zoning and urban planning development, in order to make the location, volume, number and height of buildings and other of their significant characteristics, consistent with the geological and seismic ground information available. Furthermore, urban development of areas with high seismic risk should require the previous elaboration of local maps, including among other natural risks, the seismic risk. 

  • National Heritage. Spain is the country with the second most important number of National Heritage sites in the world, after Italy and before China. It seems both appropriate and necessary to make an investment in the future of Spain, one of the most important countries in the World regarding cultural tourism and still not developed enough. 

  • Spanish Heritage (historical, artistic, architectural, landscape, gastronomic and so on) should be promoted to the highest post in the scale of priorities, those regions with the most important cultural or historical richness should be provided with special plans related to seismology and heritage preservation. Possibly, one of the most ambitious tasks to assume in future days may be the reinforcement of churches, palaces, convents and castles, like those now painfully damaged in Lorca, as well as to foresee their behaviour during an earthquake, like the one that shook Lorca, on Wednesday, 11th of May. 

  • NCSE 02 has proved to be very effective regarding structural elements, but needs to be revised and completed, in reference to: Constructive non-structural elements, such as, parapets, cornices, installations, partitions and other: there is a lot to do regarding their design, location, anchorage, flexibility, etc. It is also obvious the need of reinforcing masonry walls, either made of bricks of or stone in those places where they are traditionally used.

  • Local seismotectonic zoning, above all in zones where it is well known that seisms of the L’Aquila or Lorca type could happen in the future. 

  • New maps are required, as well as new approaches to the response spectrums from waves generated by shallow or superficial faults activity. It is urgent too, to revise the values of the contribution coefficient k after the experience in Lorca. 

  • Increase on the basic acceleration values of the zones close to active faults, especially in towns in line with the ones already identified with recent activity, and in the future, with those to be discovered. 

  • Major investigation, study and consideration of all the layers of the ground affected by foundations which may receive seismic waves. The code classification in types I, II, III and IV is too vague and undetermined to prevent structural damage due to geotechnical reasons. 

  • Real geotechnical effects should be considered, revising the C coefficient associated to the ground. It is not enough to quote the possibility of liquefaction of granular soils, there is a wide range of deflections not considered in NCSE 02, such as collapses, densifications, reactivation of consolidations, etc., either in soil or in rock. Part of the new text to include as an extension of the in force code should have a geotechnical and geomechanical character according to the effects on buildings and infrastructures. 

  • The appearance of new seismic zones, should also bring about the exigence to adapt, as far as possible, the existing buildings to this new code. The Spanish Technical Building Code (CTE) included two important new concepts: the need to guarantee the safety requirements of structures, not only in the design phase but also during the execution phase, and while the building is being in use. Also, it underlines the requirement of maintaining buildings properly in order to guarantee their performance and behaviour during their useful life. This essential requirement is very important for seismic-resistant structures of existent buildings, that could have been designed complying with former codes. It is absolutely necessary to extend the Technical Buildings Inspection (ITE), already in force in many cities in Spain, to the whole country, with a special emphasis upon those structures in high seism risk areas. That would be the best option to reach our goals. 

A final reflexion to highlight, regarding what Lorca suffered last May or l’Aquila in 2009, once more, is that reconnaissance reports, published shortly after every earthquake strikes contemporary historical cities all around the world, always describe failures in buildings’ configurations identified in codes as non-recommended in seismic zones (11).
And, of course, the people behaviour before, meanwhile and after a seismic event, if correctly trained, will save many lives in Europe


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martes, 14 de agosto de 2012


«Necesitamos pan, agua y comida en conserva», explica el alcalde de una de las zonas afectadas, que lamenta la tardanza en la llegada de ayuda. (ABC)



Irán informó ayer de 306 muertos y algo más de 3.000 heridos. Las réplicas, más de 40, golpean el noroeste de Irán y amplias zonas del Mar Caspio, entre ellas Azerbayán, que ya cuenta con sus propios daños y heridos. Según el servicio geológico de los Estados Unidos, el primer sismo tuvo una magnitud de 6,4 y epicentro a 60 kilómetros al noreste de la ciudad de Tabriz. El segundo terremoto, con intensidad de 6,3, se registró 11 minutos después y su epicentro fue también al noreste de Tabriz.

Tabriz es una ciudad de dos millones de habitantes, la cuarta de Irán. Su bazar, un histórico lugar de significado cultural universal, fue declarado Patrimonio de la Humanidad (UNESCO) en 2010.

Se suma así a esas ciudades cuya riqueza patrimonial, con unos tesoros imposibles de valorar, han recibido el golpe de un fenómeno natural de por sí inofensivo, pero muy dañino cuando, como es el caso de Tabriz, el impacto es cercano. Acompañan a Tabriz L'Aquila en 2009 (309 muertos y 3.000 millones de € en pérdidas), Lorca aspirante a Patrimonio de la Humanidad con su Semana Santa en 2011 (9 muertos y 1.650 millones de € en pérdidas), Ferrara, con su casco histórico, Finale Emilia este año, y por supuesto la iraní Bam, en plena ruta de la seda, inscrita en 2004 en la lista de Patrimonios de la Humanidad en peligro, después de que en 2003 un terremoto de escala 6,2 destruyera la ciudad y matara al 60% de sus habitantes, era una ciudad de 90.000.


Desde la década de los 90 del siglo XX, Irán desarrolla sus propias herramientas de mitigación, el terremoto de 1990 (M 7,5) que mató en esa misma zona a 60.000 personas supuso un cambio radical en la manera de afrontar esa dura realidad que los países cercanos a placas que chocan, compartimos. En 1989 la normativa iraní de construcción sismorresistente se presentó como una de las más avanzadas del mundo.

Posteriormente, concienzudos estudios sobre las características geológicas de Teherán y otras grandes ciudades, ampliaron el espectro de posibilidades de mitigación con planes urbanísticos acordes con la realidad del subsuelo.

Queda la asignatura pendiente de sus materiales de construcción tradicionales, muy vulnerables, en Bam van siendo sustituidos, a la par que se ha reurbanizado por completo una ciudad Patrimonio de la Humanidad con criterios antisísmicos, entre otros.

Además, se creó una Secretaría de Educación Pública en 1990 para mejorar "la seguridad, prevención y preparación con una cultura sísmica para todos los grupos sociales".

En octubre de 2003, Bahram Akasheh, profesor de geofísica en la Universidad de Teherán, subrayó en círculos internacionales los efectos de la ignorancia de la población sobre los terremotos, lo que calificó como algo "venenoso".


Aunque Irán aún tiene mucho trabajo al respecto, es un buen espejo para la vieja Europa. Especialmente para las dos mayores potencias de turismo cultural del mundo: Italia y España, juntas aglutinan cerca de cien lugares Patrimonios de la Humanidad, el último que añadió la UNESCO fue Almadén, con sus minas. Los últimos impactados por terremotos están en Lorca, el Hierro, Emilia Romaña, Bolonia, Ferrara Módena, Sicilia...


Nuestras normativas de construcción sismorresistente son más modernas que las de Irán, de 2002 la española y de 2004 la italiana, aunque Lorca ya dejó obsoleta la primera y Emilia la segunda. Nuestros planes urbanísticos con criterios antisísmicos no existen. La especulación con el territorio nos traerá muchos disgustos. Nuestras configuraciones arquitectónicas deben mejorar, todos los muertos de l'Aquila, Lorca y Emilia tienen mucho que ver con ello y con la ignorancia, con el no saber qué es lo que hay que hacer o no hacer, como salir corriendo cuando cornisas, antepechos, tejados y vuelos demasiado mal anclados a las estructuras caen, con diseños arquitectónicos muy vulnerables y un conocimiento geotécnico bajo nuestros barrios muy deficiente. San Fernando en Lorca, hoy un barrio fantasma, es la mejor lección que deberíamos enseñar a nuestros futuros geólogos, arquitectos e ingenieros antes de demolerlo. Es la mejor de las aulas para aprender el cómo hacer (o evitar hacer) una barriada de edificios creados para ser especialmente maltratados por un terremoto: el terreno es una lupa sísmica que sostiene unos edificios de cuatro alturas sobre “palillos” con la planta baja abierta.

Impredecibles y destructivos, los costosísimos desastres sísmicos, siguen pesando sobre las economías y las sociedades españolas, italianas, europeas, afectadas por décadas, y a veces, para siempre. Una amplia presencia de casas antiguas y pobres sin inspeccionar se despliega por toda la geografía de España, Portugal, Grecia o Italia. La debilidad de la inestabilidad institucional y política ha subestimado la importancia de la aplicación de la seguridad sísmica, aunque una y otra vez vuelva a salir a la luz. Otro elemento importante, sobre todo en los últimos 100 años, es la falta de información sobre el riesgo sísmico en la población. Se pregunta Emanuela Guidoboni: ¿Quién calcula el riesgo sísmico sin conocer algunos detalles importantes del pasado? Hay un terrible problema de subestimación de los impactos. No hay diálogo con los historiadores. Además, hay otro problema de método de evaluación de los peligros (sismicidad histórica seleccionada de acuerdo a ciertos criterios dominantes como la aceleración básica). El resultado es que no se revela el riesgo a quienes toman las decisiones, los administradores y tampoco a las personas normales, a los ciudadanos.

No aprendemos, sufrimos una amnesia sísmica que nos cuesta demasiado, Lugo, Cantabria, La Rioja, Huesca, Zaragoza, Ciudad Real, Navarra, El Bierzo, han sufrido terremotos destructivos. No son sólo Granada y Murcia o Canarias, están implicadas muchas localidades que aún pueden ser visitadas para ver sus efectos. Vera y Torrevieja fueron cambiadas de lugar, pero también Arredondo, Arnedillo, Turruncún, Daroca, Martes, Berdún, Urroz, Cacabelos, y muchas otras localidades españolas que albergan tesoros patrimoniales fueron alguna vez destruidas por terremotos.

Hace poco más de 250 años (una menudencia geológica) un terremoto de escala 8,5 a 9 sacudió toda Europa, es el conocido como terremoto de Lisboa, sus efectos fueron especialmente notorios en Iberia, llegaron hasta Dinamarca, un tsunami arrasó la capital portuguesa que ya había sido destruida por el terremoto, las mortíferas olas de tierra y agua acabaron con unas 100.000 personas cuando entonces la población no llegaba ni por asomo a los tres millones que hoy alberga el área metropolitana lisboeta. Las olas fueron especialmente llamativas en el sur de España y en el norte de Europa, aunque llegaron hasta Argentina y Canadá. Cientos de iglesias pueden ser visitadas para ver sus efectos en Castilla, Extremadura, Andalucía y por supuesto en Portugal.



En septiembre de 2012, Lisboa albergará el XV congreso internacional de ingeniería sísmica. Y por fin, un nuevo enfoque emergente, al margen del refinado pulido que recibirán las normativas de construcción, allí se hará visible al mundo: el papel de la arquitectura y el urbanismo en la resiliencia sísmica de nuestras ciudades. Una sesión especial en la que un equipo interdisciplinar de varios países entre los que me incluyo representando a España, desarrollaremos una futura disciplina al respecto.

Y es que las normativas no han sido, no son, y nuca serán suficientes. Nuestras ciudades han crecido con criterios de todo tipo, especialmente especulativos, pero no antisímicos. En la mentalidad de nuestros dirigentes y expertos el escenario sísmico sigue siendo una pieza del sistema: el edificio y su estructura, a veces, pero pocas, el diseño arquitectónico, y casi nunca la distribución adecuada del territorio a una realidad tridimensional muy dinámica. Se siguen publicando extensos trabajos de adecuación sísmica estructural, ductilidad y resonancia de edificios y estructuras; se siguen refinando las normativas de construcción sismorresistentes a veces ya difíciles de aplicar por sus casi imposibles exigencias. Al mismo tiempo que se avanza en esa labor ingenieril se siguen construyendo barriadas enteras sobre auténticas cajas de resonancia sísmica por que no se conoce el medio donde se edifican esas piezas (edificios) del sistema (la ciudad).

Trágicamente hoy, una parte significativa ya de las ciudades también de Europa y España están localizadas cerca de regiones de conocida (o aún no) actividad sísmica ¿No es hora de repensar el urbanismo y desarrollar nuestras mejores herramientas de mitigación como la ley del suelo de 2008? La historia nos ha dejado una laguna cultural de más de un siglo en relación a la consideración y toma en serio de estos fenómenos naturales. Recordemos que también Emilia Romagna llevaba 450 años "dormida". En ese tiempo esa zona italiana perdió su memoria sísmica que se reflejó en la normativa italiana de 2004, en su zonación de "baja sismicidad" (5,8 y 6,0). Hoy lo está pagando muy caro.

Más del 51% de la población mundial viviremos, en un par de años en ciudades, una nueva experiencia sobre la Tierra.

Durante el lapso sísmico que va desde el terremoto de Andalucía de 1884 (6,6) con más de 1.200 muertos y una destrucción de intensidad X, (hace casi 130 años) hemos pasado de unos 16 millones de personas viviendo fundamentalmente en un ambiente rural inmóvil, a 47 millones, una población predominantemente urbana y de alta movilidad. Aquí es donde radica el mayor peligro, y mucho más ahora que antes. La verdadera historia de España ha sido sísmica, salvando este lapso de 130 años justo a la entrada de la modernidad; en los últimos siete siglos y hasta hace unos cien años, "los temblores de tierras" eran tema de estudio en las escuelas y universidades.


La sismicidad es un fenómeno que no se ha actualizado como otros aspectos culturales del país. Se ha olvidado. Nuestra historia está repleta de ejemplos de terremotos destructivos con intensidades por encima de VIII en la escala Mercalli (por encima de 5 a 6 en la de Richter). Por ello la amnesia de la población y de nuestros dirigentes parece dominar sobre los esporádicos brotes de interés cuando algo como lo de Lorca, Ferrara o Irán nos levanta de nuestros sillones, nos hace reflexionar y el país se llena de expertos geólogos, arquitectos e ingenieros de barra de bar.